An opensource place to read everything about Water Business-Bottled Water, Distribution, or Govt Policies
Why you need to calculate Financial Projections ?
Myth of a standard "Per Bottle Costing"
- How many bottles are produced in the time-cycle
- What were the pay-outs during the same
- A fix production plan ( irrespective whether you have own plant or get it done )
- This plan has to be flexible, which replies to changing market conditions
- A non-defying commitment to execute this plan till we achieve first set of results, say 1st quarter.
Let "Paper" be the deciding factor
Yesterday, I met a "would be" businessman in Packaged Drinking Water. Age : 50's. Some important Q n A between him & me ....
Q : What is the Capacity of Your Plant ?
A : 60 BPM. I'm buying an Old Machine
Q: And the RO Plant ?
A: Not a confident answer ( couldn't specify)
Q: How much Total Investment You have decided to put-in ?
A: Whatever it comes to. Till Now, I've put in some 15 Lakhs, let it be anything. I will see to it that it succeeds. I will always be a King, and if not, drop the whole thing. ( Then he presented a so-called think big slang from his community )
Now, he started Questioning me.
His Q: How much is the profit per bottle ?
My A: Per bottle profit is Gross. It will increase or decrease as per your daily production. You need to make at least 10,000 bottles per day & sell them for 3-4 years, then you will come out of your investments, with a minimum 25% ROI.
His Q: See ...One gentleman who asked my piece of land ( 5000 sft ) on rent has agreed to pay Rs. 30,000 per month. And he is putting a Packaged Drinking Water Plant on my land. If he is making Rs. 30,000, he's definitely making better money. Then why not me ?
From here, it was more a discussion, no QnA
Me : The logic is good. However, tell me , the person from whom you have been inspired, what is his background.
He: Prior to Covid, he was in this same line. He has been doing it for years.
Me: So, this is his another plant, right ?
He: No, first venture. All these years, he has been working for someone.
Me: Sir, with all due respects to your optimism, I suggest you to be ready with a proper financial statement for 5 years. I suggest to go for smaller but New set of machines. Start with a small distribution business first, and when you build sufficient client base, launch your own plant
Conclusions :-
- Look Carefully whom are you listening to. Follow him/her if he/she has implemented the model.
- Working as the manager of a business, be it a CEO, still is very different from being a Business Owner.
- If it's a first gen business, learn to sell first. Start small. Build community. Learn to accept "Nos". If you still persevere, you are the right cut for Business.
- Be paper smart. Prove your credentials on paper with a financial Consultant, a CA, then venture.
- Emotions ? Yes, important, as a prime-mover. Then keep them aside. Let Paper guide you from time to time. What gets measured, gets achieved.
Tata is NOT buying Bisleri : As of Now
So, Tata Consumer has officially confirmed that they won't be buying Bisleri as of yet. And the deal is still on, for Bisleri.
Many say that the asked price by Bisleri was not agreed upon by the Tatas.
Some say, Jayanti, daughter of Mr Ramesh Chauhan has sprung back to lead & control.
We can't exactly know these reasons. However, a profound business house like Parles, Ramesh Chouhan in particular, is well verse with game of buying-selling brands, he has already done it quite successfully with his own brands like Gold-Spot, Limca etc. He has sold these to Coca-Cola. So, the game is not at all new to him.
Have these trading skills transferred to Jayanti ? Might be. However, his wisdom & experience in this game must be in working. He knows that the 1990's Chauhan is not the same as of today, 30 years later; and the buyers are also not the same. Bisleri what it was way back in 1993, is not the same as well. It is BUILT systematically & deserves the price Chauhanji is asking for. How much is the buyer's concern, but surely there is no match to Bisleri as such. If Tatas fail to buy it, they will be loosers for sure.
Chauhanji will find a buyer, he must be already in the game, as it's very obvious to him, and naturalistic too. Let's wait & watch for who buys out Bisleri .....
Do You know how Bisleri came to India ?
Bisleri is associated with pure water in India. However, it's not an Indian name, It's Italian. It's a Last name, we call it Surname.
An Industrialist-Inventor from Italy, Felice Bisleri (1851-1921), already had 3 successfully setup products under his belt :
- A liqueur named Ferro-China Bisleri.It's still sold.
- A Medicine called Esanofete for fighting Maleria. It's a herbal tonic. Not aware whether it's still in market or not. However, ingradients for this were supplied from Indian plants, from.1920. It looks like that the son-in-law of Felice Bisleri setup these plant(s) in India ( reasons unknown).
- A Mineral Water called Nocera Umbra named after the town which has pure healing waters. This is still available. In 2019, there was a post of Facebook about completing 125 years.
First effect of Bisleri-Tata proposed deal .... The Share Market
Any thing happens in the corporate world, first reaction is on the stock market. It happened with the Bisleri-Tata deal as well. Still this is just a news, but very widely shared on Media. Hence there must be considerable amount of truth behind it. However, it hasn't still taken place, we should understand.
Bisleri is NOT listed on BSE or NSE, hence it's not traded publically. However, the bottling factory for Bisleri, Orient Beverages has hit it's 5-year High in last week. You may check the performance on stock market, as this is not a place for this. However, we shall discuss on why it must be trending. I could see major 3 reasons :-
- Bisleri is a great brand, however, if Tata groups takes it over, there are chances of getting it better, as TATA is a national & huge brand. It's believed that you will only flourish when you get attached to the Tatas.
- By the virtue of it, the bottlers for Bisleri also will get benefitted. Not just because Tata is taking it over, but they will get other brands of premium TATA beverages as well.
- The Packaged Drinking Water Industry is not much in organized sector. Only a few like Orient beverages is a listed company. Hence investors see an opportunity to own a stake in this flourishing unit though buying the equity.
Bisleri-Tatas Deal : An Analysis ....
Bisleri getting sold to Tatas
Why is TATA buying this ?
Portfolio Enhancement and Distribution-ready Network
Let's examine the gain-points for Tatas through this deal :-
- Mfg-Distribution facility Getting a ready-made business with established factories, contract packers ( 130+ ) & distribution ( 4500+ ) network & Own Delivery Vehicles ( 6000 + ) . They have to just put-in money.While continuing Bisleri as their Bread (not butter) giving product; the ready-made distribution will be available to Tatas to push their butter giving products gradually. The Customer Touch Points for Bisleri is also a "Gain" factor for Tatas, and for the sellers, Tata is also a great brand.
- Opportunity to cater to an enhanced market. After Covid-19, the demand for PURE drinking water has increased drastically, packaged drinking water is on the rise. This is a 10-15% growth rate segment.
- Opportunity to use Bisleri's brand value for existing profit making products. For the water business owners, money lies in the Value Added Water Based Drinks, though not BIS approved. These drinks are the Tonic Water, Lemon Water and similar varieties. Tatas can push these drinks gradually under great brand like Bisleri.
Challenges Which they might incur :-
- Rs. 7000 CR is a huge debt even for giants like Tatas. Interest Burden is heavy. The story is different from Jaguar, because comparatively, Bisleri Business is a low-profit business. Just 7% margin. (FY 2021 Bisleri Ended with NP of 100 CR from Sales of 1472 CR). Somewhere I did see a mention of making 220 CR from 2,500 CR in 2022. However, while examining results, we should check the Operational Profits, not from other sources.
- Overall, Packaged Drinking Water is not an attractive Business for Corporates. The majority (65%) market is ruled by inorganized sector. For Mr Ramesh Chaouhan, it might be another great deal ( He has done with other popular brands of his own like Thumps Up, Limca etc...), but interestingly, the most obvious buyers like Pepsi ( Aquafina Owners ) Or Coca-Cola ( Already owning Chauhan's old Thumps brand & owning Kinley ) have not been seen to be on stage. Instead it's heard that Reliance Retail ( Ambani Group ) and Danone ( Evian Water Owners ) have made offers.
- Duplication. Great Brand can be winner or killer at times. With so much inorganized sector domination; Duplicators are many; and there can be a tremendous Legal Cost to monitor this. See how Pepsi has to fight for its Mountain-Dew brand. Mountain Dew is comparatively very small & its duplicators also. But for huge penetrator in India Market like Bisleri, the legal operations cost can be huge. May not be that justifiable with the cost involved.
- Typical "Distributor" type approach. While looking at the market segment where Bisleri has anchored themselves in, Price-Hike seems very difficult. Going for an MRP of Rs.25 from Rs. 20 looks difficult now. Out of Rs. 20, Bisleri has to offer Rs. 10 to distributor, leaving them with just 7-8 % NP.
Learnings for a Bottled Water Business Owner :-
It's all in the Brand
It's also the great Distribution Network
Network of Contract-Packers
Acknowledging the Forthcoming Challenges
Exit, if you can't hold it
Magfast Beverages Using Pepsi Brand : Innocence or Deliberate ?
The Case
Pepsico recently won the battle for usage of its brand " Mountain Dew " in Hyderabad High Court against rivals Magfast Beverages. Here are the case highlights in brief :-
- Magfast Started Packaged Drinking Water in the name of "Mountain Dew"
- Pepsi owns this, henced filed a case against them
- First round, magfast wins as Pepsi hasn't filed it for Packaged Drinking Water
- Pepsi didn't agree, went to High Court.
- High court gives a decision to let Pepsico use it exclusively & Magfast can't use.
Let's see the major reason ground & discuss on that :-
Court says that Pepsi has registered that in India, in 1985, which Magfast says that they were not aware.
- Can it be ? I doubt. It could have been carelessness. Or over confidence.
- Or can be sincere attempt. Pepsi doent make water under Mountain Dew Tradename. Packaged Drinking Water Business started booming from 2003 onwards. Till then there was no category as well in the said class.
Though products are different, still belong to same category as they are sold on the same counter
Importance of Recycled Bottles
Aquafina has started a new initiative in AMESA region. AMESA stands for Africa, Middle East & South Asia. Recycled PET Bottles. It's doing a lot of things to do this. naturally it's all done to improve the ESG rating of the brand owner : Pepsico. Their ESG rating seems to be at risk. Look at Coca-Cola. Not a great rating ( Great is > 70) but medium and much higher than rival - Pepsico.
Naturally, They are starting with their most bottle - PET consuming product : Water, and hence Aquafina.
Women Empowerment & Water ATM ....
Profit should be the driver, not "Fund"
Govt Funding Model ... absence of this approach
Let's talk business, guys !
Marathon : Good Opportunity for Water Bottlers
As a Water Business Owner, one must constantly look at newer & newer opportunities through which they can reach people. One of those is Branding and the other is push marketing. Today I came across an article where a Marathon is organized "Neerathon". That too, it's a Water Business Specific Marathon.
An excellent opportunity to be a sponsor.
What Next ?
Branding is fine, however, keeping the brand promise calls for a great execution strategy in place. Very first the communication channel, and then delivery of the promise. Branding definitely elevates your image. But it's an expense. Huge expense. You need to have a supporting Marketing Plan for this. If you do not have this, you will surely fail. A bitter truth. Hence... Build Reserves with strong execution. Start Small. Branding initially can be done with small stakes.
Where do You Start ?
How do you find the number of pure drinking water units in karnataka or in your state
Let's be clear : Pure by the B.I.S. norms. B.I.S. is the central govt authority which issues ISI license to the "Pure" drinking water units. BIS also has a portal through which one can find out the number of units in his/her state. You can check this video :-
The same method can be used to find out in any state.
Water Sommelier : Is it a fad ?
I have been reading for last almost 3-4 years about this term "Water Sommelier". There is a website which covers many informative articles on bottled water which is not the thirst quenching water of you & me. The website is finewaters dot com. You can visit the same at your time.
They also offer something called as "Water Sommelier" Courses. After learning one understands what water is & what might be the impurities other stuff. What makes me sick is the etiquette thing they have attached to this. Water, agreed is contaminated at many places. However, to me, at the most, where I am not sure, particularly at unknown places, I take Packaged Drinking Water. Otherwise at home I drink the tap water. And what etiquette? Just with a hand funnel also we take & drink water.
To me, it is unnecessarily hyped profession.Look at an article recently published by a lady water sommelier in India :- https://www.vervemagazine.in/people/a-water-sommelier-wants-to-change-the-way-we-consume-this-overlooked-drink
However, your views are welcome.
Bisleri Moves into Sanitizers
It was strange to know this, the big Bisleri is entering into ...what ? ... yes ... Santizers. Though tactically they don't call it Sanitizers; still it is a competition with the sanitizer biggies like dettol, and others.
Read this article :- https://www.afaqs.com/news/mktg/we-are-aiming-for-the-post-covid-hand-hygiene-space-says-bisleris-anjana-ghosh
Why would it be ?
- Is the water market getting crowded ? Bisleri shouldn't bother much; as still it holds 60% market share, and performing well over others.
- Is it that they want to be seen as a diversified player ?
- Or simply the stakeholder's mood ?
They are saying, they are entering after everyone else using the "last mover advantage" ; however, they pitch themselves as the pioneers in the bottled water market. Sounds funny.
God knows what's the intention; looks really strange. However, Bisleri hasn't done well with its parallel energy drinks as well, just a sidenote. They might claim this, but masses know bisleri for its water, not for any of its energy drinks so far !
Consider Rainwater Harvesting
We take Govt norms sometimes as a kind of those unnecessary things, which the govt makes us follow. This is a wrong assumption. Same is the case with Rainwater Harvesting. How ?
How Rainwater harvesting will help you generate profit ?
The Bottled Water Plants actually extract groundwater & treat that with RO. In this process, it removes the TDS from the groundwater. Usually, the extracted groundwater is stored in Raw Water Tanks before processing at the Water Treatment Plant. If Rainwater, being almost Zero TDS water is mixed in these tanks, it will reduce the total TDS of the water in the Raw Water Tanks. This will result in the following benefits :-
- Decreased Groundwater Demand
- Increased life of the RO system
- Reduced wastage from RO Plant
- Tax benefit at the municipal level
How to Implement This at the plant ?
Branding helps cross-segmentation
Once you establish your brand, you can take it to anywhere. And if you have a B2C brand, that too, an FMCG product, you have better chances. In addition, if you have an established distributors network, it works like magic. You just need vision.
Kinnera : An example of this
Takeaway :-
Water ATM's need a self sustaining model !
The Govt funded ATM's don't work
Update : Dec 2022 :-
April 2021
Here is an Opportunity
Alternate ( Better ) Model
New fssai Order for Packaged Drinking Water & Natural Mineral Water
Recent Order by the fssai dtd 26th March
A Welcome Move
- fssai says FBO. FBO means food business operators. It consists of producers (manufacturers) as well as the distributors as well. Both require registrations/licenses. I am sure the new order is for those who claim they manufacture PDW or NMW, still it should be made clear as to, in case of a distributor or a co-packer, what should be the pre-condition, as they use someone else's BIS certifications.
- Secondly, some more clarification needed for other types of water such as Alkaline Water, Flavoured Water, Aerated Water, Tonic Water. They can be registered with fssai without the BIS license. There should be certain clear order on this.
Banning Bottles below 1 Ltr : Is this a correct step towards restricting pollution ?
Recently , The Mokokchung district administration, Nagaland exercised a complete ban on Packaged Drinking Water Bottles below 1 ltr. Many states have experimented this in past or even in present.
What may be the general strategy ?
- It acts as a breakdown measure, something done to temporarily address the situation, not attacking the cause.
- The cause is the habit of littering. Is something done to educate people on this aspect parallelly ?
- There should be a drive to promote reverse vending machine usage at public places. This educates & rewards people more.
- For recycling, some special "Feel Good" drive should be implemented by the govt. This will encourage citizens to recycle the plastic PET bottles.
- As it is, almost 90 per cent of PET is recycled. There is no much point to include smaller bottles in the ban. This decreases the convenience of travelers and increases the usage of bigger sized bottles which provokes wastage of water ultimately.
Does a Water Bottling Plant Waste 50% Water ?
Well, this is a very loose talk. Even the plant suppliers also sound very loose when they easily claim that 50% of water is only usable, & the rest is thrown, waste. This has to be corrected properly, let's do it :-
It's not 50 % flat
Can the Reject Water be re-used ?
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