Can risk be calculated ?

The word "Risk" itself is pointing towards journey into the unknown. However, it need not be a 100% unforeseen risk, and on the top of it, it can be known at least, if can't be avoided.

While most of Bottled Water Entrepreneurs check technicals of the project, visit many suppliers at various places, and collect a great piece of information, they actually do not devote enough time for their detailed Financial Calculations. The most important is the actual Risk involved.

"Should I venture into this ?"

This is a typical question every entrereneur asks. My answer to them : If your gut feeling says, go ahead, however, check the amount of risk before that, as any wrong decision may pull you into damage which takes years to recover from.

Can it be a "Calculated" Risk ?

Absolutely yes. 3 ways to do it. Let's explore those :-

1. Very first, understand the ROI & overall investment needed : Refer the online/offline material to first confirm this & check your own investment appetitie. Then decide the business Model.There is nothing wrong to start small. 
2. Thing Big Right : Check your Financial Position, if you can insure for the same. Calculate the holding period :- The number of months which may go without active income & make arrangements for the same. You should and can calculate the impact which these months will make.
3. Loan is Okay, but not a Victory : Loan is an asset for Bankers, initially a liability for an entrepreneur. Take it carefully. No problem being extra careful. Calculate everything before going to banks. This step is most important.

Be Wise, no Heroics

Optimism is proved when it realizes the deliverables. Hence the "deliverables" is the true wealth you make & contribute towards the national treasure. It's a very responsible decision. By becoming a financially aware entrepreneur, you are taking a step towards this. It's a DUTY.